20200204 Day 35: Feb 28 Cases Peak 145,000 and Deaths Peak 2,000

Assuming no outbreaks in other countries, using the official numbers reported to date by China, and hoping for the best, the number of worldwide reported cases peak at 145,000 and number of deaths peak at 2,000.

Date /2020 Total Cases China Cases China Severe China Deaths Ex China Cases Ex China Deaths
1/21 282 278 63 6 4 0
1/22 314 309 63 6 5 0
1/23 581 571 95 17 10 0
1/24 864 830 177 25 34 0
1/25 1320 1287 237 41 33 0
1/26 2014 1985 324 56 29 0
1/27 2798 2741 491 80 37 0
1/28 4593 4537 976 106 56 0
1/29 6065 5997 1239 132 68 0
1/30 7818 7736 1370 170 82 0
1/31 9826 9720 1527 213 109 0
2/1 11953 11821 1795 259 132 0
2/2 14557 14411 2110 304 146 1
2/3 17391 17238 2296 361 153 1
2/4 20628 20438 2498 425 155 2
2/5 24292 24019 2719 496 156 2
2/6 28403 27978 2958 574 157 3
2/7 32971 32303 3219 658 157 4
2/8 38000 36969 3503 749 159 6
2/9 43483 41935 3812 844 160 9
2/10 49400 47150 4148 944 162 13
2/11 55721 52547 4513 1046 164 18
2/12 62401 58045 4911 1149 165 24
2/13 69382 63554 5344 1252 167 31
2/14 76591 68974 5815 1352 168 39
2/15 83944 74196 6328 1447 170 46
2/16 91344 79112 6885 1536 172 53
2/17 98685 83609 7492 1616 174 59
2/18 105853 87585 8153 1686 175 63
2/19 112728 90942 8872 1743 177 67
2/20 119191 93595 9654 1787 179 68
2/21 125122 95478 10505 1817 181 69
2/22 130408 96541 11431 1831 182 69
2/23 134945 96757 12438 1838 184 69
2/24 138639 97615 13535 1856 186 70
2/25 141415 98591 14728 1874 188 71
2/26 143214 99577 16026 1893 190 72
2/27 143998 100573 17439 1912 192 72
2/28 145047 101578 18976 1931 194 73

Author: J. Sands Loch

Student and teacher of reality in all its forms. I self-published my personal experience of discovering and trying to understand and use a model of reality based on the Many Worlds Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics: Surfing the Multiverse: Finding Happiness One Universe at a Time Available on Kindle and from Amazon, and found in blog post form at: SurfingTheUniverse.com

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