Two days ago in 20200417F Day 108: Surfing the Multiverse back through a Pandemic Wormhole, I noted:
It is looking now that the 10x/month rate is still on track from March 19 and the confirmed COVID-19 cases are expected to hit 2.5M by April 19.
and data from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ shows 2,406,575 worldwide confirmed cases of COVID-19. I’m happy to see that the number of total cases is leveling off. One warning sign is the growing number of cases in Russia. If COVID-19 outbreaks are not contained quickly in Russia, then there could be 10x the number of cases in Russia by May 19th. As I continue surfing to a universe where SARS-CoV-2 returns to the wild, then something needs to change in Russia because the number of cases and deaths are currently increasing rapidly.
In local news, I went on a bike ride with my brother. There were quite a few other bikers and life is beginning to return to normal in Santa Cruz. The beaches and walk along the beach were also full. Santa Cruz County has 104 cases and 2 deaths confirmed for COVID-19 out of a population of 300,000. It will be interesting to see what the serological testing shows in the county. New York plans to begin serological testing on Monday.